As far as the next General Election is concerned, what really matters is the 'projected national share' - and the relationship this has to polling and General Election outcomes.
Very good question. It's 87% for the one under Tory Governments (the most important one for these Locals), which is pretty good. 83% for the one under Labour Governments.
What's the R squared for the Lab poll lead vs NEV regression?
Very good question. It's 87% for the one under Tory Governments (the most important one for these Locals), which is pretty good. 83% for the one under Labour Governments.
Fascinating stuff. When will the NEV be calculated? Something to distract us from the coronation...
I believe about Friday lunchtime!